US: Kamala Harris is seeking the 270 electoral votes needed to win the 2024 presidential election

US: In the Midwest, Vice President Kamala Harris is up against it more and more as she tries to secure the 270 electoral votes needed to win the 2024 presidential election.

It was formerly believed that Harris would have an easy time winning the “blue wall” battleground states of Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District. However, new polling indicates that Harris is losing momentum in Michigan and Wisconsin.

In an effort to keep the three Midwestern battlegrounds blue in November, Harris’ team has focused its efforts on ensuring that they remain so after Joe Biden defeated Donald Trump in 2020.

Rebuilding this wall was thought to be Harris’ most direct path to the presidency, particularly since that polls taken early in the campaign indicated she had slight but steady leads in each of the three. Every election since 1988, when Wisconsin supported Michael Dukakis and Michigan and Pennsylvania supported George H.W. Bush, has seen the states vote identically against each other.

However, fresh information indicates that Trump’s campaign is picking up steam in these states, intensifying the already anticipated close contest.

In Michigan (50 percent to 47 percent) and Wisconsin (48 percent to 46 percent), Trump leads Harris by three points and two points, respectively, according to a Quinnipiac University survey that was published on Wednesday. Harris’s campaign seems to be faltering in the industrial Midwest, even if she still leads by three points in Pennsylvania (49 to 46 percent).

Earlier this week, the Wall Street Journal revealed that, in Wisconsin, new internal polling conducted by Democrat Tammy Baldwin’s Senate campaign revealed Harris to be three points behind Trump, despite Baldwin having a slim 2-point advantage in her own contest.

According to a source familiar with the survey, the move may be attributed in large part to the Republican Party’s appeal to males without college degrees.

Wisconsin has a history of very close presidential margins, according to Charles Franklin, director of the Marquette Law School Poll and a professor of law and public affairs at Marquette University. Franklin made this observation to Newsweek.

“The history of Wisconsin presidential elections since 2000 has been of very close races, four of the six elections decided by less than 1 percentage point,” Franklin said.

Franklin said that while Harris is ahead of Trump by a little margin, the contest may easily go any way.
“Harris’ advantage in the state is presently less than one point, according to polling averages.

Although we had her up by 4 points in our September surveys, Franklin noted that Wisconsin’s rural counties had shifted more Republican since 2012. “Much of the outcome rests on GOP success in rural Wisconsin and Democratic dominance in Dane and Milwaukee counties.”

“The Republican-leaning counties in the Fox Valley (Brown, Outagamie, and Winnebago) and Green Bay are the other area of focus. A Republican surge there may tip the election in favor of Trump, while a strong showing by Democrats would greatly benefit Harris.”

Trump has taken advantage of this by scheduling four events in Wisconsin over the course of nine days in late September and early October.

During a speech in Juneau, a small rural town located north of Madison, Trump said with confidence that “if we win Wisconsin, we win the presidency.”

In 2016, Trump narrowly prevailed over 23,000 votes in the state; in 2020, he lost by just under 21,000 votes. According to polls, 2024’s race is predicted to be as close.

In Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, Harris’s performance in 2020 has trailed behind Biden’s, particularly with regards to organized labor.

Although Harris has received the backing of powerful unions like the Service Employees International Union and the United Auto Workers, other unions like the International Brotherhood of Teamsters and the International Association of Fire Fighters have not endorsed him.

Trump has often used his rhetoric about high prices, industrial losses, and the danger posed by China’s expanding power to attack blue-collar workers in the Midwest.

Defying Trump’s assertions that she plans to “end all gas-powered cars,” Harris reassured the audience at a recent speech in Flint, Michigan, saying, “I will never tell you what kind of car you have to drive.”

While acknowledging that Harris’ standing is deteriorating in the Midwest, pollster Nate Silver issued a warning on Wednesday in his blog post, saying, “The chances of a Trump win in the Electoral College are about even.”

According to Silver’s study, Democrats have a history of becoming anxious as election day approaches. This propensity is exacerbated by “the scar tissue left over from 2016,” when Trump defeated Hillary Clinton in all three contests.