US Elections: Kamala Harris enjoying her highest approval rating
US Elections: On November 5, Americans will choose the winner of the White House campaign, and Kamala Harris is enjoying the greatest popularity rating she has had in three years. Four weeks remain before the contest is decided.
After Vice President Harris replaced President Joe Biden as the Democratic contender for president in July, the contest between her and Donald Trump became noticeably more competitive.
Since then, her approval rating has varied somewhat but has consistently risen, peaking in August at around 40%.
According to polling aggregator FiveThirtyEight, as of October 4, Harris’s popularity rating is 45.6 percent, while his disapproval rating is 46.7 percent.
With 95% of surveys predicted to fall within this range, Harris’ approval rating is at its highest point since before October 2021—a -1.1 margin.
October 4, 2020, about four weeks before the election on November 3, 2020, was the former president Trump’s approval rating on FiveThirtyEight. He does not now hold an office; hence, his rating is not available. This resulted in a -8.1 percentage point difference between his 52.3 percent disapproval rating and his approval rating.
According to FiveThirtyEight, Trump’s favorability rating, which is based more on the overall perception of the population than on his performance as an official, stands at 43%. As of October 4 of this year, he had a 52.6 percent negative rating, leaving a -9.6 percent gap.
In contrast, Harris has a 47.2 percent favorability rating on FiveThirtyEight, with a +0.6 percent margin of acceptance against a 46.5 percent disapproval rating.
Prior to the 2020 election, Trump was lagging behind Biden in both the average swing state victory percentage calculated by Real Clear Politics and the election projection by FiveThirtyEight.
Likewise, Harris is favored to win according to FiveThirtyEight’s version of the election projection for this year, which was most recently updated on Monday.
Though Harris leads in a number of polls, most of them are within the margin of error, political analyst Steve Schier told a media report.
“Harris has not yet successfully introduced herself to many voters,” he said. Many encouraging media messages followed her first launch, but the image that was created needed to be reinforced.”
Twenty states have already started early voting, and politicians are in the last stages of their campaigns before voters cast their ballots.
The most important battleground states are Arizona, Nevada, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Georgia. These states will effectively determine the outcome of the election.
Based on FiveThirtyEight’s aggregates from October 2, a media report has produced a map that illustrates which states are seeing the highest polling leads for Harris and Trump.
Nevada and the Rust Belt swing states are close to Harris, according to FiveThirtyEight’s aggregate polling data. Her advantage is 1.8 points in Michigan, 1 point in Nevada, 0.7 points in Pennsylvania, and 1.8 points in Wisconsin.
In the swing states of the Sun Belt, Trump is doing somewhat better. The aggregate shows that he is ahead in Arizona by 1.4 points, Georgia by 1.2 points, and North Carolina by 0.6 points.
