US: 95 percent of those who bet on the White House battle placed their bets on Trump’s victory
US: According to statistics given to Newsweek, the overwhelming majority of wagers made with a prominent bookmaker on the outcome of the 2024 presidential election during the previous week supported Republican nominee Donald Trump.
Five percent of those who wagered on the White House contest with Star Sports in the week leading up to Thursday backed Trump to win, while 95 percent backed his Democratic opponent, Vice President Kamala Harris. Overall, Star Sports is giving Trump chances of 4/6 (60 percent) to win on November 5 compared to Harris’s odds of 11/8 (42.1 percent).
According to an estimate released on Thursday by the election website 538, Harris has a 1.7-point lead with 48.1 percent of the vote compared to Trump’s 46.4 percent, suggesting that the 2024 presidential election is too close to call. However, like Hillary Clinton did in 2016, Harris might win the popular vote but still lose the election due to the Electoral College system. Trump has a 51 percent probability of winning the Electoral College, making him the clear favorite, according to 538.
“It’s been another week of Donald Trump being favored in the market, drawing in 95 percent of all bets placed on the upcoming U.S. presidential election,” William Kedjanyi, a political betting analyst at Star Sports, told Newsweek.According to the odds, the former president is easily in the lead to return to the White House on November 5, with Kamala Harris becoming the 11/8 outsider, even if there is still time for some unexpected turns before Election Day.
“We laid Biden along with other candidates early on, then Harris when she was announced, along with several decent bets on Trump; so we find ourselves in a fairly comfortable position,” a Star Sports representative told Newsweek when asked why the company believed so many people had placed bets on Trump over the previous week.That allowed us to provide the best pricing.
Trump at a period when we thought he was too short, and both of those characteristics led to the current imbalance in interest in him, even if the polls were in his favor.We think more change is on the horizon, since this election has been the busiest and most seesawing we’ve covered.
Additionally, Star Sports is providing chances of 15/8 (34.8 percent) on the Republican candidate winning a clean sweep of all seven states, with Trump as the favorite to win the crucial swing states of Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Georgia, Nevada, and Arizona.
Kedjanyi said, “Trump has also notably been backed at 15/8 to sweep all seven of the swing states—which the Republicans are odds-on for in each of the individual markets—to seriously bolster his chances when the nation goes to polls.”
“President Trump is a candidate for ALL Americans, which is why he is winning in every battleground—his message resonates with voters across the country,” Republican National Committee spokeswoman Anna Kelly told Newsweek.According to CNN, Kamala Harris and the Democrat Party’s dangerously liberal policies have failed America, and more Americans now identify as Republicans for the first time since 1984. President Trump will mend the damage that Harris caused to our economy, border, and international peace.
With an average of 286 electoral votes compared to Trump’s 252 in November, Harris was projected as the front-runner in an election model based on “opinion polls, electoral history and demographic data” that 338Canada published on Tuesday. While Trump was the favorite in Georgia, Nevada, and Arizona, the model also predicted that Harris would win the battleground states of North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin.
Nearly 20,000 more registered Republicans than Democrats have cast ballots in Nevada thus far, according to data released on Wednesday. One renowned analyst called this “unheard of at this point in any other presidential cycle.”
Trump’s advantage among white women, a usually Republican voting bloc, is only 1 percentage point, according to a survey by CNN political analyst Harry Enten. Enten said this is the lowest lead any GOP candidate has had with this demographic this century.