Presidential candidate Donald Trump is not doing as well with black voters as previously thought

US ELECTION: Two new surveys suggest that Republican presidential contender and former president Donald Trump may not be doing as well with Black voters as previously believed.

According to a Howard University Initiative on Public Opinion survey, 83 percent of Black respondents said they would vote for Democratic contender Vice President Kamala Harris, while just 8 percent said they would support Donald Trump.

It was conducted between October 2 and October 8 among 981 Black likely voters in the battleground states of Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. There is a 3.2 percentage point margin of error for the poll.

In the study, Trump’s support is four points lower than in a comparable Howard University survey from September. According to that poll, 81 percent of respondents supported Harris, while 12 percent indicated they would vote for Trump.

According to the most recent study, 77% of respondents thought favorably of Harris, up from 74% in September. The percentage of respondents who indicated they thought favorably of Trump dropped to 15% from 17% in September.

According to a recent YouGov survey for CBS News, Harris is receiving about the same amount of support from black voters as Biden did in 2020. According to the poll, which was done between October 8 and 11, 12 percent of Black potential voters favor Trump and 87 percent support Harris.

The head of Black media engagement for the Trump campaign, Janiyah Thomas, previously told a media report that the team was more concerned with producing outcomes than with monitoring polls.

“We know this fight isn’t easy, but Team Trump is committed to bringing him back to the White House to continue that progress—lowering costs, creating jobs, and ensuring that Black Americans have the opportunity to thrive again,” Thomas said.

The findings imply that, despite some indications of movement among Black males in particular, Trump has not gained the anticipated gains within the crucial voting demographic since 2020, with less than three weeks to Election Day. Black voters supported President Joe Biden 92% of the time in 2020, with just 8% voting for Donald Trump.

Both candidates are attempting to gain the support of Black voters and other influential groups since it seems that this election will be determined by very narrow margins in the battleground states, and even little changes in support might have a significant impact.

Fearing that some Black men may boycott the election or support Trump, Harris, the daughter of Indian and Jamaican immigrants, launched a proposal on Monday to provide more chances for Black males. Following remarks made last week by former President Barack Obama, some Black males reportedly “aren’t feeling the idea of having a woman as president.”

It also happened after a survey conducted last week by the New York Times and Siena College revealed that Trump was making some progress in gaining the support of black voters.

589 Black people were polled for the poll between September 29 and October 6, and the results showed that 78% of Black voters would vote for Harris in November and 15% would vote for Trump.

Katherine Tate, a political science professor at Brown University and the author of From Protest to Politics: The New Black Voters in American Elections, told a media report, “I actually think the polls have overestimated Trump’s support among Blacks.”

Black nonvoters who are unhappy with both Harris and Trump but believe Trump is more likely to bring about change are showing up at the polls. Young Black men are less likely than other groups to register to vote, even if they are more likely to say they support Trump.

Tate said that although Black Trump supporters “are poorly mobilized,” those who cast ballots “will likely strongly rally behind Harris.” “An additional aspect is sexism in the Black community. However, I believe that black male voters who disapprove of Harris due to her gender will still not cast ballots for Donald Trump.”

A media report was informed by Northeastern University political science professor Costas Panagopoulos that individuals “often mistake small shifts in poll preferences for true movement, but these are often statistical artifacts, especially when zooming in on limited numbers of subgroups of respondents.”

“That said, it would not be surprising in the closing days of a campaign, when voters are finalizing their voting choices, for Black voters to be coming home to support not only the Democratic candidate but also someone with whom they share racial identity,” he said. “Bringing people’s actual interests and viewpoints into sharp relief and coordinating them with their voting choices is one way that campaigns accomplish. That might be the reason for these voters’ behavior.”