US: Will Jill Stein do the same for Kamala Harris?

US: Even if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. withdrew from the presidential contest, this does not imply that third-party candidates will not have an influence on the results in November.

Though it remains uncertain if Kennedy would have received more support from former President Donald Trump or Vice President Kamala Harris, it is evident that Harris faces greater electoral risk from the remaining third-party candidates who have access to the ballot in the swing states than from the former president.

Now, third-party candidates who steal a point or two from a contender might be crucial in a presidential contest that most likely will come down to only one or two percentage points in four or five swing states.

The majority of political polls estimate that Trump’s popularity can only reach 47–48 percent of the vote. In order for Trump to prevail, votes for a third-party candidate or candidates must be cast, depriving his rival of a majority of the vote.

Some third-party candidates have received less attention than others. One such candidate is Jill Stein, whose 2016 Green Party campaign is primarily seen as the reason Hillary Clinton lost the president.

Since Stein’s voter share in 2016 outpaced Trump’s winning margin over Hillary Clinton, Clinton would have won the presidency and the states of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin if Stein had not entered the race.

In Pennsylvania, Trump won by a margin of 44,292 votes in 2016. Stein received 49,941 votes. In Michigan, Stein received 51,463 votes to Trump’s 10,704 advantage. In Wisconsin, Stein received 31,072 votes to Trump’s 22,748 advantage.

Sadly for Kamala Harris, Jill Stein is running again in the 2024 election after declining to run in the last one. That is a valid question, why is she returning. She has no chance at all of receiving even one electoral vote. She does, however, have an opportunity to play spoiler in a manner that would repeat what she did in 2016 and help Trump win the president again.

Let’s examine a few of the figures. Known as the “Blue Wall”—Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin—Stein’s campaign in 2016 deliberately targeted disgruntled Democratic voters, particularly those who had backed Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders. The issue was who Robert F. Kennedy Jr. would steal more votes from when all the attention was on him.

But considering that Stein disagrees with Harris on many subjects, it is certain that she steals votes from her much more than Trump does. She may be held accountable for the catastrophe of a second Trump administration if her tiny but important vote share stays near to how it was in 2016.

Even if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. withdrew from the presidential contest, this does not imply that third-party candidates will not have an influence on the results in November.

Though it remains uncertain if Kennedy would have received more support from former President Donald Trump or Vice President Kamala Harris, it is evident that Harris faces greater electoral risk from the remaining third-party candidates who have access to the ballot in the swing states than from the former president.

Now, third-party candidates who steal a point or two from a contender might be crucial in a presidential contest that most likely will come down to only one or two percentage points in four or five swing states.

The majority of political polls estimate that Trump’s popularity can only reach 47–48 percent of the vote. In order for Trump to prevail, votes for a third-party candidate or candidates must be cast, depriving his rival of a majority of the vote.

Some third-party candidates have received less attention than others. One such candidate is Jill Stein, whose 2016 Green Party campaign is primarily seen as the reason Hillary Clinton lost the president. Since Stein’s voter share in 2016 outpaced Trump’s winning margin over Hillary Clinton, Clinton would have won the presidency and the states of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin if Stein had not entered the race.

In Pennsylvania, Trump won by a margin of 44,292 votes in 2016. Stein received 49,941 votes. In Michigan, Stein received 51,463 votes to Trump’s 10,704 advantage. In Wisconsin, Stein received 31,072 votes to Trump’s 22,748 advantage.

Sadly for Kamala Harris, Jill Stein is running again in the 2024 election after declining to run in the last one. That is a valid question, why is she returning. She has no chance at all of receiving even one electoral vote. She does, however, have an opportunity to play spoiler in a manner that would repeat what she did in 2016 and help Trump win the president again.

Let’s examine a few of the figures. Known as the “Blue Wall”—Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin—Stein’s campaign in 2016 deliberately targeted disgruntled Democratic voters, particularly those who had backed Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders. The issue was who Robert F. Kennedy Jr. would steal more votes from when all the attention was on him.

But considering that Stein disagrees with Harris on many subjects, it is certain that she steals votes from her much more than Trump does. She may be held accountable for the catastrophe of a second Trump administration if her tiny but important vote share stays near to how it was in 2016.